Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
14-9-0
VS
Kaue Fernandes
11-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
30.0%
70.0%
Kaue Fernandes
LightGBM
currently viewing
30.5%
69.5%
Kaue Fernandes
Logistic (Core)
48.4%
51.6%
Kaue Fernandes
CatBoost
31.9%
68.1%
Kaue Fernandes
Ensemble
34.1%
65.9%
Kaue Fernandes
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
38%
Decision
47%
KO / TKO
15%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 62%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Jalin Turner
Kaue Fernandes
21%
10%
10%
8%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Jalin Turner
pushes toward Kaue Fernandes →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Jalin Turner
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
6.4m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
L
SUB
L
KO
W
KO
L
DEC
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Kaue Fernandes
Win Streak
3
Finish Rate
50%
Avg Duration
9.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
L
DEC
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
185 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Jalin Turner
ADVANTAGE
Kaue Fernandes
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate