Diego Ferreira
19-7-0
VS
Billy Quarantillo
18-7-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
47.9%
52.1%
Billy Quarantillo
LightGBM
52.1%
47.9%
Diego Ferreira
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
54.1%
45.9%
Diego Ferreira
CatBoost
56.6%
43.4%
Diego Ferreira
Ensemble
52.1%
47.9%
Diego Ferreira
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
43%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
23%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 57%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Diego Ferreira
Billy Quarantillo
18%
9%
8%
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Diego Ferreira
pushes toward Billy Quarantillo →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Diego Ferreira
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
KO
L
DEC
W
KO
W
KO
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Billy Quarantillo
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
KO
L
SUB
W
DEC
L
KO
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Orthodox