Jeremiah Wells
13-4-1
VS
Myktybek Orolbai
15-2-1
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
24.9%
75.1%
Myktybek Orolbai
LightGBM
currently viewing
30.0%
70.0%
Myktybek Orolbai
Logistic (Core)
38.5%
61.5%
Myktybek Orolbai
CatBoost
38.2%
61.8%
Myktybek Orolbai
Ensemble
28.6%
71.4%
Myktybek Orolbai
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Jeremiah Wells
Myktybek Orolbai
23%
17%
8%
7%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Jeremiah Wells
pushes toward Myktybek Orolbai →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Jeremiah Wells
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
W
DEC
L
DEC
L
SUB
W
DEC
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Switch
Myktybek Orolbai
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
W
DEC
W
KO
W
SUB
L
DEC
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Orthodox