Michael Aswell Jr.
"The Texas Kid"
11-3-0
VS
JooSang Yoo
"Zombie Jr."
9-1-0
Thin UFC data
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
61.1%
38.9%
Michael Aswell Jr.
LightGBM
currently viewing
52.7%
47.3%
Michael Aswell Jr.
Logistic (Core)
58.0%
42.0%
Michael Aswell Jr.
CatBoost
54.6%
45.4%
Michael Aswell Jr.
Ensemble
57.9%
42.1%
Michael Aswell Jr.
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
51%
Decision
36%
KO / TKO
13%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 49%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Michael Aswell Jr.
JooSang Yoo
19%
9%
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Michael Aswell Jr.
pushes toward JooSang Yoo →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Michael Aswell Jr.
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
25%
Avg Duration
11.7m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
L
DEC
Height:
173 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
175 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
JooSang Yoo
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
50%
Avg Duration
2.9m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
KO
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
180 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Michael Aswell Jr.
ADVANTAGE
JooSang Yoo
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate