RJ Harris
"The Hammer"
5-0-0
VS
Alvin Hines
"Goozie"
7-1-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
73.2%
26.8%
RJ Harris
LightGBM
currently viewing
69.8%
30.2%
RJ Harris
Logistic (Core)
66.5%
33.5%
RJ Harris
CatBoost
70.8%
29.2%
RJ Harris
Ensemble
70.9%
29.1%
RJ Harris
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
47%
Decision
37%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 53%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
RJ Harris
Alvin Hines
25%
10%
8%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward RJ Harris
pushes toward Alvin Hines →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
RJ Harris
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
258 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Alvin Hines
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
DEC
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
265 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Orthodox