Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
23-12-1
VS
Tresean Gore
"Mr. Vicious"
6-4-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
52.7%
47.3%
Vicente Luque
LightGBM
59.0%
41.0%
Vicente Luque
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
71.6%
28.4%
Vicente Luque
CatBoost
58.2%
41.8%
Vicente Luque
Ensemble
56.7%
43.3%
Vicente Luque
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
45%
Decision
36%
KO / TKO
19%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 55%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Vicente Luque
Tresean Gore
15%
11%
7%
7%
7%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Vicente Luque
pushes toward Tresean Gore →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Vicente Luque
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
6.9m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
DEC
L
SUB
W
SUB
L
KO
Height:
180 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Tresean Gore
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
8.8m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
DEC
L
KO
W
SUB
W
SUB
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Switch
Head-to-Head Stats
Vicente Luque
ADVANTAGE
Tresean Gore
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate