Aleksandar Rakic
"Rocket"
14-6-0
VS
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27-10-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
68.2%
31.8%
Aleksandar Rakic
LightGBM
66.4%
33.6%
Aleksandar Rakic
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
64.3%
35.7%
Aleksandar Rakic
CatBoost
61.8%
38.2%
Aleksandar Rakic
Ensemble
66.9%
33.1%
Aleksandar Rakic
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
43%
Decision
42%
KO / TKO
15%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 57%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Aleksandar Rakic
Marcin Tybura
17%
12%
8%
6%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Aleksandar Rakic
pushes toward Marcin Tybura →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Aleksandar Rakic
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
KO
L
DEC
L
KO
L
KO
Height:
193 cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
198 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Marcin Tybura
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
L
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
246 lbs
Reach:
198 cm
Stance:
Orthodox