Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
16-4-1
VS
Mitch Ramirez
8-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
79.3%
20.7%
Chase Hooper
LightGBM
currently viewing
79.2%
20.8%
Chase Hooper
Logistic (Core)
79.3%
20.7%
Chase Hooper
CatBoost
75.2%
24.8%
Chase Hooper
Ensemble
78.6%
21.4%
Chase Hooper
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
44%
Decision
28%
KO / TKO
29%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 56%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Chase Hooper
Mitch Ramirez
15%
15%
13%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Chase Hooper
pushes toward Mitch Ramirez →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Chase Hooper
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
KO
L
KO
W
DEC
W
SUB
Height:
185 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Mitch Ramirez
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
L
KO
L
KO
Height:
180 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
180 cm
Stance:
Orthodox