Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
13-6-0
VS
2026-08-01
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Middleweight
Robert Valentin
"Robzilla"
11-6-0
CATBOOST PREDICTION
Dusko Todorovic 'Thunder'
64.7% CONFIDENCE
How It Ends
30%
Decision
39%
KO / TKO
30%
Submission
Decision30.4%
KO / TKO39.4%
Submission30.1%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 157.2%
Round 231.1%
Round 3+11.7%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 70% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Dusko Todorovic
Robert Valentin
Net striking dominance
Matchup
18%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Robert Valentin
17%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Dusko Todorovic
7%
Round 1 strike output
Robert Valentin
5%
Avg takedowns attempted
Robert Valentin
5%
Age
Robert Valentin
5%
Strikes absorbed/min
Robert Valentin
5%
Avg takedowns attempted
Dusko Todorovic
4%
Fights per year
Dusko Todorovic
3%
Distance strike defense
Robert Valentin
2%
Age
Dusko Todorovic
2%
Distance strike defense
Dusko Todorovic
2%
Past prime
Robert Valentin
2%
Past prime
Dusko Todorovic
2%
← pushes toward Dusko Todorovic pushes toward Robert Valentin →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Dusko Todorovic

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L SUB
W SUB
L DEC
L KO
L KO
Height: 185 cm
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 188 cm
Stance: Orthodox

Robert Valentin

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W SUB
W SUB
L KO
L DEC
L KO
Height: 188 cm
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 196 cm
Stance: Orthodox