Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
13-6-0
VS
Robert Valentin
"Robzilla"
11-6-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
68.3%
31.7%
Dusko Todorovic
LightGBM
68.8%
31.2%
Dusko Todorovic
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
53.3%
46.7%
Dusko Todorovic
CatBoost
64.7%
35.3%
Dusko Todorovic
Ensemble
68.3%
31.7%
Dusko Todorovic
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
30%
Decision
39%
KO / TKO
30%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 70%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Dusko Todorovic
Robert Valentin
17%
7%
7%
6%
6%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Dusko Todorovic
pushes toward Robert Valentin →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Dusko Todorovic
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
W
SUB
L
DEC
L
KO
L
KO
Height:
185 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Robert Valentin
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
W
SUB
L
KO
L
DEC
L
KO
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
Orthodox