Liu Ce
3-1-0
VS
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
"Baby Monster"
6-0-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
61.3%
38.7%
Liu Ce
LightGBM
60.6%
39.4%
Liu Ce
Logistic (Core)
58.5%
41.5%
Liu Ce
CatBoost
62.7%
37.3%
Liu Ce
Ensemble
64.2%
35.8%
Liu Ce
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
60.2%
39.8%
Liu Ce
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
currently viewing
61.6%
38.4%
Liu Ce
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
56.8%
43.2%
Liu Ce
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
58.7%
41.3%
Liu Ce
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
60.4%
39.6%
Liu Ce
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
43%
Decision
38%
KO / TKO
19%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 57%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Liu Ce
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
9%
9%
7%
6%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Liu Ce
pushes toward Levi Rodrigues Jr. →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Liu Ce
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
KO
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
205 lbs
Reach:
193 cm
Stance:
Orthodox