Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
17-6-0
VS
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
22-6-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
77.2%
22.8%
Ignacio Bahamondes
LightGBM
currently viewing
68.5%
31.5%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Logistic (Core)
79.7%
20.3%
Ignacio Bahamondes
CatBoost
70.3%
29.7%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Ensemble
76.1%
23.9%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
37%
Decision
44%
KO / TKO
18%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 63%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Ignacio Bahamondes
Muslim Salikhov
15%
11%
10%
9%
7%
5%
5%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Ignacio Bahamondes
pushes toward Muslim Salikhov →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Ignacio Bahamondes
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
8.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
SUB
W
KO
W
KO
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Muslim Salikhov
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
4.8m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
KO
W
KO
W
DEC
L
KO
Height:
180 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Ignacio Bahamondes
ADVANTAGE
Muslim Salikhov
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate