Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
17-6-0
VS
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
22-6-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
71.3%
28.7%
Ignacio Bahamondes
LightGBM
70.4%
29.6%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Logistic (Core)
79.0%
21.0%
Ignacio Bahamondes
CatBoost
72.2%
27.8%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Ensemble
74.8%
25.2%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
74.7%
25.3%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
76.4%
23.6%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
71.3%
28.7%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
77.4%
22.6%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
75.7%
24.3%
Ignacio Bahamondes
With Odds · CatBoost
82.4%
17.6%
Ignacio Bahamondes
With Odds · Ensemble
83.5%
16.5%
Ignacio Bahamondes
With Odds · LightGBM
currently viewing
83.3%
16.7%
Ignacio Bahamondes
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
79.1%
20.9%
Ignacio Bahamondes
With Odds · XGBoost
84.6%
15.4%
Ignacio Bahamondes
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
36%
Decision
45%
KO / TKO
18%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 64%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Ignacio Bahamondes
Muslim Salikhov
49%
15%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
← pushes toward Ignacio Bahamondes
pushes toward Muslim Salikhov →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Ignacio Bahamondes
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
SUB
W
KO
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Muslim Salikhov
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
KO
W
KO
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
180 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Orthodox