Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
15-5-0
VS
Joanderson Brito
"Tubarao"
17-5-1
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
42.0%
58.0%
Joanderson Brito
LightGBM
40.3%
59.7%
Joanderson Brito
Logistic (Core)
39.3%
60.7%
Joanderson Brito
CatBoost
43.4%
56.6%
Joanderson Brito
Ensemble
42.1%
57.9%
Joanderson Brito
market-margin__xgb-full
25.4%
74.6%
Joanderson Brito
No Age · CatBoost
51.1%
48.9%
Giga Chikadze
No Age · Ensemble
49.9%
50.1%
Joanderson Brito
No Age · LightGBM
49.9%
50.1%
Joanderson Brito
No Age · Logistic (Core)
47.7%
52.3%
Joanderson Brito
No Age · XGBoost
46.2%
53.8%
Joanderson Brito
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
38.5%
61.5%
Joanderson Brito
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
38.4%
61.6%
Joanderson Brito
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
38.1%
61.9%
Joanderson Brito
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
38.4%
61.6%
Joanderson Brito
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
34.1%
65.9%
Joanderson Brito
With Odds · CatBoost
23.3%
76.7%
Joanderson Brito
With Odds · Ensemble
25.4%
74.6%
Joanderson Brito
With Odds · LightGBM
23.3%
76.7%
Joanderson Brito
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
39.3%
60.7%
Joanderson Brito
With Odds · XGBoost
currently viewing
20.8%
79.2%
Joanderson Brito
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
57%
Decision
26%
KO / TKO
17%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 43%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Giga Chikadze
Joanderson Brito
47%
13%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
← pushes toward Giga Chikadze
pushes toward Joanderson Brito →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Giga Chikadze
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
KO
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
188 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Joanderson Brito
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
SUB
W
DEC
L
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
173 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
Orthodox