Mackenzie Dern
16-5-0
VS
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
16-8-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
45.6%
54.4%
Gillian Robertson
LightGBM
46.5%
53.5%
Gillian Robertson
Logistic (Core)
44.0%
56.0%
Gillian Robertson
CatBoost
currently viewing
44.4%
55.6%
Gillian Robertson
Ensemble
43.8%
56.2%
Gillian Robertson
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
60%
Decision
17%
KO / TKO
23%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 40%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Mackenzie Dern
Gillian Robertson
10%
10%
10%
8%
8%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Mackenzie Dern
pushes toward Gillian Robertson →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Mackenzie Dern
Win Streak
3
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
15.6m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
SUB
W
DEC
L
DEC
L
KO
Height:
163 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Gillian Robertson
Win Streak
5
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
12.1m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
165 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Mackenzie Dern
ADVANTAGE
Gillian Robertson
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate