David Martinez
"Doctor"
13-1-0
VS
Dan Ige
"50K"
19-10-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
81.7%
18.3%
David Martinez
LightGBM
79.7%
20.3%
David Martinez
Logistic (Core)
72.6%
27.4%
David Martinez
CatBoost
currently viewing
79.8%
20.2%
David Martinez
Ensemble
79.6%
20.4%
David Martinez
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
56%
Decision
33%
KO / TKO
11%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 44%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
David Martinez
Dan Ige
19%
16%
10%
7%
6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward David Martinez
pushes toward Dan Ige →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
David Martinez
Win Streak
3
Finish Rate
33%
Avg Duration
11.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
165 cm
Weight:
135 lbs
Reach:
170 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Dan Ige
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
12.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
DEC
W
KO
L
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
180 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
David Martinez
ADVANTAGE
Dan Ige
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate