Mansur Abdul-Malik
8-0-1
VS
Dustin Stoltzfus
16-8-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
76.2%
23.8%
Mansur Abdul-Malik
LightGBM
currently viewing
74.7%
25.3%
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Logistic (Core)
73.0%
27.0%
Mansur Abdul-Malik
CatBoost
71.5%
28.5%
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Ensemble
73.7%
26.3%
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Dustin Stoltzfus
18%
12%
11%
6%
6%
5%
5%
5%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Mansur Abdul-Malik
pushes toward Dustin Stoltzfus →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
L
KO
W
SUB
D
DEC
W
KO
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
203 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Dustin Stoltzfus
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
L
KO
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox