Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
16-2-0
VS
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19-5-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
65.5%
34.5%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
LightGBM
currently viewing
70.5%
29.5%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Logistic (Core)
60.9%
39.1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
CatBoost
68.3%
31.7%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Ensemble
71.8%
28.2%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
42%
Decision
50%
KO / TKO
9%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 58%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Curtis Blaydes
15%
7%
7%
7%
7%
6%
6%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Waldo Cortes Acosta
pushes toward Curtis Blaydes →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
8.7m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
KO
W
KO
W
KO
L
DEC
Height:
193 cm
Weight:
260 lbs
Reach:
198 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Curtis Blaydes
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
7.9m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
DEC
L
KO
W
KO
L
KO
Height:
193 cm
Weight:
265 lbs
Reach:
203 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Waldo Cortes Acosta
ADVANTAGE
Curtis Blaydes
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate