Chidi Njokuani
"Bang Bang"
25-11-0
VS
Joel Alvarez
"El Fenomeno"
23-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
43.8%
56.2%
Joel Alvarez
LightGBM
currently viewing
42.2%
57.8%
Joel Alvarez
Logistic (Core)
33.3%
66.7%
Joel Alvarez
CatBoost
40.7%
59.3%
Joel Alvarez
Ensemble
40.1%
59.9%
Joel Alvarez
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Chidi Njokuani
Joel Alvarez
15%
11%
9%
8%
6%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Chidi Njokuani
pushes toward Joel Alvarez →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Chidi Njokuani
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
DEC
L
SUB
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
203 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Joel Alvarez
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
SUB
W
DEC
W
KO
W
KO
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
196 cm
Stance:
Orthodox