Shanelle Dyer
"The Nightmare"
6-1-0
Thin UFC data
VS
Elise Reed
8-5-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
80.9%
19.1%
Shanelle Dyer
LightGBM
80.0%
20.0%
Shanelle Dyer
Logistic (Core)
76.5%
23.5%
Shanelle Dyer
CatBoost
currently viewing
80.1%
19.9%
Shanelle Dyer
Ensemble
81.4%
18.6%
Shanelle Dyer
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
64%
Decision
21%
KO / TKO
15%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 36%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Shanelle Dyer
Elise Reed
21%
14%
10%
7%
6%
5%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Shanelle Dyer
pushes toward Elise Reed →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Shanelle Dyer
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
100%
Avg Duration
6.3m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
Height:
168 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
165 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Elise Reed
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
10.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
W
DEC
L
SUB
W
DEC
L
SUB
Height:
160 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Shanelle Dyer
ADVANTAGE
Elise Reed
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate