Shanelle Dyer
"The Nightmare"
6-1-0
VS
Elise Reed
8-5-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
currently viewing
81.6%
18.4%
Shanelle Dyer
LightGBM
78.8%
21.2%
Shanelle Dyer
Logistic (Core)
76.1%
23.9%
Shanelle Dyer
CatBoost
78.6%
21.4%
Shanelle Dyer
Ensemble
80.9%
19.1%
Shanelle Dyer
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
62%
Decision
22%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 38%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Shanelle Dyer
Elise Reed
14%
11%
9%
8%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Shanelle Dyer
pushes toward Elise Reed →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Shanelle Dyer
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
KO
Height:
168 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
165 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Elise Reed
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
KO
W
DEC
L
SUB
W
DEC
Height:
160 cm
Weight:
115 lbs
Reach:
160 cm
Stance:
Orthodox