Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
16-5-0
VS
Brunno Ferreira
"The Hulk"
14-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
61.0%
39.0%
Edmen Shahbazyan
LightGBM
61.8%
38.2%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
68.3%
31.7%
Edmen Shahbazyan
CatBoost
66.3%
33.7%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Ensemble
62.0%
38.0%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
41%
Decision
44%
KO / TKO
15%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 59%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brunno Ferreira
16%
8%
8%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
← pushes toward Edmen Shahbazyan
pushes toward Brunno Ferreira →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Edmen Shahbazyan
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
9.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
L
SUB
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Brunno Ferreira
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
9.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
KO
W
DEC
W
SUB
W
SUB
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Edmen Shahbazyan
ADVANTAGE
Brunno Ferreira
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate