Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
16-5-0
VS
Brunno Ferreira
"The Hulk"
14-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
64.3%
35.7%
Edmen Shahbazyan
LightGBM
66.5%
33.5%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Logistic (Core)
67.5%
32.5%
Edmen Shahbazyan
CatBoost
64.7%
35.3%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Ensemble
64.4%
35.6%
Edmen Shahbazyan
market-margin__xgb-full
53.2%
46.8%
Edmen Shahbazyan
No Age · CatBoost
58.3%
41.7%
Edmen Shahbazyan
No Age · Ensemble
53.7%
46.3%
Edmen Shahbazyan
No Age · LightGBM
55.0%
45.0%
Edmen Shahbazyan
No Age · Logistic (Core)
61.8%
38.2%
Edmen Shahbazyan
No Age · XGBoost
58.0%
42.0%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
64.7%
35.3%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
64.3%
35.7%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
67.7%
32.3%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
68.7%
31.3%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
62.7%
37.3%
Edmen Shahbazyan
With Odds · CatBoost
59.1%
40.9%
Edmen Shahbazyan
With Odds · Ensemble
54.8%
45.2%
Edmen Shahbazyan
With Odds · LightGBM
56.2%
43.8%
Edmen Shahbazyan
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
67.5%
32.5%
Edmen Shahbazyan
With Odds · XGBoost
54.4%
45.6%
Edmen Shahbazyan
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
35%
Decision
49%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 65%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brunno Ferreira
14%
9%
7%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Edmen Shahbazyan
pushes toward Brunno Ferreira →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Edmen Shahbazyan
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
188 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Brunno Ferreira
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
L
KO
W
DEC
W
SUB
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
Orthodox