Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24-13-0
VS
Salahdine Parnasse
23-2-0
Thin UFC data
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
39.1%
60.9%
Salahdine Parnasse
LightGBM
42.5%
57.5%
Salahdine Parnasse
Logistic (Core)
52.1%
47.9%
Dan Hooker
CatBoost
currently viewing
43.0%
57.0%
Salahdine Parnasse
Ensemble
38.3%
61.7%
Salahdine Parnasse
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
49%
Decision
33%
KO / TKO
18%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 51%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Dan Hooker
Salahdine Parnasse
21%
17%
11%
9%
7%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Dan Hooker
pushes toward Salahdine Parnasse →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Dan Hooker
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
11.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
SUB
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Switch
Salahdine Parnasse
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A
Head-to-Head Stats
Dan Hooker
ADVANTAGE
Salahdine Parnasse
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate