Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24-13-0
VS
Salahdine Parnasse
23-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
42.0%
58.0%
Salahdine Parnasse
LightGBM
44.3%
55.7%
Salahdine Parnasse
Logistic (Core)
52.3%
47.7%
Dan Hooker
CatBoost
44.5%
55.5%
Salahdine Parnasse
Ensemble
38.0%
62.0%
Salahdine Parnasse
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
43.1%
56.9%
Salahdine Parnasse
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
39.8%
60.2%
Salahdine Parnasse
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
currently viewing
46.9%
53.1%
Salahdine Parnasse
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
53.7%
46.3%
Dan Hooker
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
43.7%
56.3%
Salahdine Parnasse
With Odds · CatBoost
19.9%
80.1%
Salahdine Parnasse
With Odds · Ensemble
19.2%
80.8%
Salahdine Parnasse
With Odds · LightGBM
19.2%
80.8%
Salahdine Parnasse
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
52.3%
47.7%
Dan Hooker
With Odds · XGBoost
19.7%
80.3%
Salahdine Parnasse
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
49%
Decision
34%
KO / TKO
17%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 51%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Dan Hooker
Salahdine Parnasse
18%
17%
9%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Dan Hooker
pushes toward Salahdine Parnasse →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Dan Hooker
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
KO
L
KO
L
SUB
W
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Switch
Salahdine Parnasse
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
Height:
N/A cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
N/A cm
Stance:
N/A