Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
21-7-0
VS
Mike Malott
"Proper"
13-2-1
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
45.1%
54.9%
Mike Malott
LightGBM
42.9%
57.1%
Mike Malott
Logistic (Core)
currently viewing
45.3%
54.7%
Mike Malott
CatBoost
44.7%
55.3%
Mike Malott
Ensemble
44.2%
55.8%
Mike Malott
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
54%
Decision
35%
KO / TKO
10%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 46%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Joaquin Buckley
Mike Malott
11%
10%
9%
8%
7%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Joaquin Buckley
pushes toward Mike Malott →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Joaquin Buckley
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
16.4m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
KO
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
178 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
193 cm
Stance:
Southpaw
Mike Malott
Win Streak
4
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
12.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
L
KO
Height:
185 cm
Weight:
170 lbs
Reach:
185 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Joaquin Buckley
ADVANTAGE
Mike Malott
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate