Michael Page
"Venom"
24-3-0
VS
Nursulton Ruziboev
"Black"
36-9-2
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
currently viewing
71.4%
28.6%
Michael Page
LightGBM
65.4%
34.6%
Michael Page
Logistic (Core)
53.8%
46.2%
Michael Page
CatBoost
67.1%
32.9%
Michael Page
Ensemble
67.7%
32.3%
Michael Page
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
43%
Decision
41%
KO / TKO
15%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 57%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Michael Page
Nursulton Ruziboev
12%
9%
8%
8%
6%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Michael Page
pushes toward Nursulton Ruziboev →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Michael Page
Win Streak
3
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
15.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
201 cm
Stance:
Switch
Nursulton Ruziboev
Win Streak
3
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
8.6m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
W
DEC
W
KO
L
DEC
W
KO
Height:
196 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
193 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Michael Page
ADVANTAGE
Nursulton Ruziboev
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate