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Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31-14-0
VS
2026-08-15
UFC 330
Welterweight
Ramiz Brahimaj
13-5-0
LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Ramiz Brahimaj
53.8% CONFIDENCE
ACTUAL RESULT — MODEL WAS WRONG
Neil Magny 'The Haitian Sensation' won
KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:20
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
46.7% 53.3%
Ramiz Brahimaj
LightGBM currently viewing
46.2% 53.8%
Ramiz Brahimaj
Logistic (Core)
54.3% 45.7%
Neil Magny
CatBoost
54.3% 45.7%
Neil Magny
Ensemble
52.5% 47.5%
Neil Magny
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Neil Magny
Ramiz Brahimaj
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
18%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
12%
Age
Neil Magny
11%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
8%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Neil Magny
7%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
5%
Reach edge
Matchup
4%
Finishing threat edge
Matchup
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Ramiz Brahimaj
3%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Ramiz Brahimaj
3%
Head absorption rate
Neil Magny
2%
Age
Ramiz Brahimaj
2%
Body strikes absorbed per min
Neil Magny
2%
Fights per year
Ramiz Brahimaj
2%
← pushes toward Neil Magny pushes toward Ramiz Brahimaj →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Neil Magny

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
L SUB
W SUB
W KO
L KO
Height: 190 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 203 cm
Stance: Orthodox

Ramiz Brahimaj

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
L DEC
W SUB
W SUB
W KO
Height: 178 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 183 cm
Stance: Orthodox