Back
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31-14-0
VS
2026-08-15
UFC 330
Welterweight
Ramiz Brahimaj
13-5-0
LOGISTIC (CORE) PREDICTION
Neil Magny 'The Haitian Sensation'
54.3% CONFIDENCE
ACTUAL RESULT — MODEL WAS CORRECT
Neil Magny 'The Haitian Sensation' won
KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:20
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
46.7% 53.3%
Ramiz Brahimaj
LightGBM
46.2% 53.8%
Ramiz Brahimaj
Logistic (Core) currently viewing
54.3% 45.7%
Neil Magny
CatBoost
54.3% 45.7%
Neil Magny
Ensemble
52.5% 47.5%
Neil Magny
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Neil Magny
Ramiz Brahimaj
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
13%
Age
Neil Magny
13%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
9%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Neil Magny
8%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
7%
Reach edge
Matchup
5%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Ramiz Brahimaj
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Ramiz Brahimaj
4%
Head absorption rate
Neil Magny
4%
Age
Ramiz Brahimaj
3%
Finishing threat edge
Matchup
3%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
3%
Total career fights (incl. non-UFC)
Neil Magny
2%
Body strikes absorbed per min
Neil Magny
2%
← pushes toward Neil Magny pushes toward Ramiz Brahimaj →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Neil Magny

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
L SUB
W SUB
W KO
L KO
Height: 190 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 203 cm
Stance: Orthodox

Ramiz Brahimaj

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
L DEC
W SUB
W SUB
W KO
Height: 178 cm
Weight: 170 lbs
Reach: 183 cm
Stance: Orthodox