Rei Tsuruya
10-1-0
VS
Kevin Borjas
"El Gallo Negro"
10-4-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
70.7%
29.3%
Rei Tsuruya
LightGBM
72.1%
27.9%
Rei Tsuruya
Logistic (Core)
75.4%
24.6%
Rei Tsuruya
CatBoost
74.5%
25.5%
Rei Tsuruya
Ensemble
currently viewing
73.9%
26.1%
Rei Tsuruya
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
55%
Decision
26%
KO / TKO
19%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 45%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Rei Tsuruya
Kevin Borjas
12%
9%
7%
7%
7%
7%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Rei Tsuruya
pushes toward Kevin Borjas →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Rei Tsuruya
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
33%
Avg Duration
11.1m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
168 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
173 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Kevin Borjas
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
12.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
L
KO
L
DEC
W
DEC
L
KO
Height:
165 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
173 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Rei Tsuruya
ADVANTAGE
Kevin Borjas
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate