Arman Tsarukyan
"Ahalkalakets"
23-3-0
VS
Mauricio Ruffy
12-2-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
71.3%
28.7%
Arman Tsarukyan
LightGBM
71.2%
28.8%
Arman Tsarukyan
Logistic (Core)
70.5%
29.5%
Arman Tsarukyan
CatBoost
68.0%
32.0%
Arman Tsarukyan
Ensemble
currently viewing
67.2%
32.8%
Arman Tsarukyan
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
52%
Decision
36%
KO / TKO
12%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 48%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Arman Tsarukyan
Mauricio Ruffy
16%
9%
8%
6%
5%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Arman Tsarukyan
pushes toward Mauricio Ruffy →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Arman Tsarukyan
Win Streak
5
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
10.6m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
W
DEC
W
KO
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Mauricio Ruffy
Win Streak
2
Finish Rate
60%
Avg Duration
7.8m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
W
KO
L
SUB
W
KO
W
DEC
Height:
180 cm
Weight:
155 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Arman Tsarukyan
ADVANTAGE
Mauricio Ruffy
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate