Namsrai Batbayar
"Steppe Warrior"
9-1-0
Thin UFC data
VS
Andre Lima
"Mascote"
11-0-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
37.2%
62.8%
Andre Lima
LightGBM
currently viewing
42.3%
57.7%
Andre Lima
Logistic (Core)
53.5%
46.5%
Namsrai Batbayar
CatBoost
39.7%
60.3%
Andre Lima
Ensemble
40.8%
59.2%
Andre Lima
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
57%
Decision
21%
KO / TKO
22%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 43%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Namsrai Batbayar
Andre Lima
15%
12%
11%
8%
8%
6%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Namsrai Batbayar
pushes toward Andre Lima →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Namsrai Batbayar
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Height:
163 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
173 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Andre Lima
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
13.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
W
SUB
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DQ
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
170 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Namsrai Batbayar
ADVANTAGE
Andre Lima
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate