Namsrai Batbayar
"Steppe Warrior"
9-1-0
VS
Andre Lima
"Mascote"
11-0-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
36.6%
63.4%
Andre Lima
LightGBM
42.1%
57.9%
Andre Lima
Logistic (Core)
53.5%
46.5%
Namsrai Batbayar
CatBoost
41.7%
58.3%
Andre Lima
Ensemble
41.0%
59.0%
Andre Lima
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
39.5%
60.5%
Andre Lima
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
40.3%
59.7%
Andre Lima
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
40.1%
59.9%
Andre Lima
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
54.2%
45.8%
Namsrai Batbayar
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
currently viewing
38.5%
61.5%
Andre Lima
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
57%
Decision
22%
KO / TKO
21%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 43%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Namsrai Batbayar
Andre Lima
13%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Namsrai Batbayar
pushes toward Andre Lima →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Namsrai Batbayar
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
Height:
163 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
173 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Andre Lima
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
DEC
W
SUB
W
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
170 cm
Stance:
Orthodox