Donte Johnson
"Lock Jaw"
7-0-0
VS
2026-08-15
UFC 330
Middleweight
Eric McConico
10-4-1
CATBOOST PREDICTION
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw'
82.9% CONFIDENCE
ACTUAL RESULT — MODEL WAS CORRECT
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw' won
KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:38
Why CatBoost leans this way
Donte Johnson
Eric McConico
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
18%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
10%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Eric McConico
9%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
7%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
6%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Donte Johnson
6%
Age
Eric McConico
5%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
5%
Strikes absorbed/min
Donte Johnson
4%
Age
Donte Johnson
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Donte Johnson
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Eric McConico
2%
Distance strike defense
Eric McConico
2%
Round 1 strike output
Eric McConico
2%
← pushes toward Donte Johnson pushes toward Eric McConico →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Donte Johnson

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
W DEC
W SUB
Height: 173 cm
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 188 cm
Stance: Southpaw

Eric McConico

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
W DEC
L KO
W DEC
L KO
Height: 183 cm
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 196 cm
Stance: Southpaw