Donte Johnson
"Lock Jaw"
7-0-0
VS
2026-08-15
UFC 330
Middleweight
Eric McConico
10-4-1
LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw'
82.5% CONFIDENCE
ACTUAL RESULT — MODEL WAS CORRECT
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw' won
KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:38
Why LightGBM leans this way
Donte Johnson
Eric McConico
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
13%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Eric McConico
10%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
8%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
7%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Donte Johnson
7%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
6%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
5%
Age
Donte Johnson
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Donte Johnson
4%
Round 1 strike output
Eric McConico
4%
Strikes absorbed/min
Donte Johnson
3%
Age
Eric McConico
3%
Head absorption rate
Eric McConico
3%
Avg takedowns attempted
Eric McConico
2%
← pushes toward Donte Johnson pushes toward Eric McConico →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Donte Johnson

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
W DEC
W SUB
Height: 173 cm
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 188 cm
Stance: Southpaw

Eric McConico

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
W DEC
L KO
W DEC
L KO
Height: 183 cm
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 196 cm
Stance: Southpaw