Donte Johnson
"Lock Jaw"
7-0-0
VS
2026-08-15
UFC 330
Middleweight
Eric McConico
10-4-1
LOGISTIC (CORE) PREDICTION
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw'
79.2% CONFIDENCE
ACTUAL RESULT — MODEL WAS CORRECT
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw' won
KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:38
Why XGBoost leans this way
Donte Johnson
Eric McConico
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Eric McConico
11%
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
10%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Donte Johnson
7%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
6%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
6%
Strikes absorbed/min
Donte Johnson
5%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
5%
Age
Donte Johnson
5%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
5%
Age
Eric McConico
5%
Avg takedowns attempted
Eric McConico
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Donte Johnson
4%
Head absorption rate
Eric McConico
4%
Round 1 strike output
Eric McConico
3%
← pushes toward Donte Johnson pushes toward Eric McConico →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Donte Johnson

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W KO
W DEC
W SUB
Height: 173 cm
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 188 cm
Stance: Southpaw

Eric McConico

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
W DEC
L KO
W DEC
L KO
Height: 183 cm
Weight: 185 lbs
Reach: 196 cm
Stance: Southpaw