Kurtis Campbell
"The Pink Panther"
8-0-0
Thin UFC data
VS
2026-09-05
UFC Fight Night: Page vs. Ruziboev
Featherweight
Trevor Peek
9-3-0
LIGHTGBM PREDICTION
Kurtis Campbell 'The Pink Panther'
65.3% CONFIDENCE
How It Ends
56%
Decision
27%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
Decision56.4%
KO / TKO27.5%
Submission16.2%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 150.7%
Round 233.3%
Round 3+16.0%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 44% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why LightGBM leans this way
Kurtis Campbell
Trevor Peek
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup -7.55
25%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Trevor Peek +1.09
7%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup -4
7%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup 0.03
6%
Avg takedowns attempted
Kurtis Campbell 3.49
5%
Net striking dominance
Matchup -0.07
5%
Age
Kurtis Campbell 24.1 yrs
5%
Elo rating edge
Matchup -16
3%
Elo rating
Trevor Peek 1,493
3%
Total career fights (incl. non-UFC)
Kurtis Campbell 8
3%
Distance strike defense
Trevor Peek 57%
3%
Last 2 avg fight time
Kurtis Campbell 331
2%
Elo rating
Kurtis Campbell 1,477
2%
Strikes absorbed/min
Trevor Peek 3.32
2%
← pushes toward Kurtis Campbell pushes toward Trevor Peek →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Kurtis Campbell

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
5.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L KO
Height: 175 cm
Weight: 145 lbs
Reach: 183 cm
Stance: Switch

Trevor Peek

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
13.0m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L DEC
L DEC
W DEC
L DEC
W KO
Height: 175 cm
Weight: 145 lbs
Reach: 178 cm
Stance: Switch
Head-to-Head Stats
Kurtis Campbell
ADVANTAGE
Trevor Peek
Striking Accuracy
44.2%
+4.5%
48.7%
Strikes Landed/Min
2.75
+0.97
3.72
Strikes Absorbed/Min
2.72
+0.60
3.32
Striking Defense
54.4%
+4.2%
50.2%
Takedown Accuracy
38.2%
+2.9%
41.0%
Takedown Defense
58.4%
+1.6%
56.7%
Knockdowns/Fight
0.18
+0.08
0.26
Avg Control Time (sec)
83.02
+16.16
66.85
Strikes Per Round
15.32
+2.60
17.92
Head Strike %
63.7%
+2.6%
61.1%
Body Strike %
19.9%
+3.3%
23.2%
Leg Strike %
16.4%
+0.7%
15.7%
Last 5 Win Rate
0.0%
+40.0%
40.0%
Last 5 Finish Rate
0.0%
+20.0%
20.0%