Kurtis Campbell
"The Pink Panther"
8-0-0
VS
Trevor Peek
9-3-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
64.1%
35.9%
Kurtis Campbell
LightGBM
60.0%
40.0%
Kurtis Campbell
Logistic (Core)
62.0%
38.0%
Kurtis Campbell
CatBoost
57.6%
42.4%
Kurtis Campbell
Ensemble
59.5%
40.5%
Kurtis Campbell
Recency-Heavy · CatBoost
61.1%
38.9%
Kurtis Campbell
Recency-Heavy · Ensemble
61.7%
38.3%
Kurtis Campbell
Recency-Heavy · LightGBM
61.1%
38.9%
Kurtis Campbell
Recency-Heavy · Logistic (Core)
62.8%
37.2%
Kurtis Campbell
Recency-Heavy · XGBoost
66.4%
33.6%
Kurtis Campbell
With Odds · CatBoost
78.1%
21.9%
Kurtis Campbell
With Odds · Ensemble
78.7%
21.3%
Kurtis Campbell
With Odds · LightGBM
79.1%
20.9%
Kurtis Campbell
With Odds · Logistic (Core)
62.0%
38.0%
Kurtis Campbell
With Odds · XGBoost
currently viewing
79.3%
20.7%
Kurtis Campbell
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
55%
Decision
29%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 45%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Kurtis Campbell
Trevor Peek
40%
16%
4%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
← pushes toward Kurtis Campbell
pushes toward Trevor Peek →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Kurtis Campbell
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
SUB
L
KO
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
183 cm
Stance:
Switch
Trevor Peek
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
SUB
L
DEC
L
DEC
W
DEC
L
DEC
Height:
175 cm
Weight:
145 lbs
Reach:
178 cm
Stance:
Switch