Kurtis Campbell
"The Pink Panther"
8-0-0
VS
2026-09-05
UFC Fight Night: Page vs. Ruziboev
Featherweight
Trevor Peek
9-3-0
RECENCY-HEAVY · CATBOOST PREDICTION
Kurtis Campbell 'The Pink Panther'
61.1% CONFIDENCE
ACTUAL RESULT — MODEL WAS CORRECT
Kurtis Campbell 'The Pink Panther' won
Submission · Round 3 · 3:07
How It Ends
55%
Decision
29%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
Decision54.9%
KO / TKO28.8%
Submission16.3%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 149.7%
Round 233.9%
Round 3+16.3%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 45% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Kurtis Campbell
Trevor Peek
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
30%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Trevor Peek
11%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
6%
Age
Kurtis Campbell
5%
Avg takedowns attempted
Kurtis Campbell
5%
Elo rating edge
Matchup
5%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
5%
Distance strike defense
Kurtis Campbell
4%
Distance strike defense
Trevor Peek
3%
Age
Trevor Peek
2%
Fights per year
Trevor Peek
2%
Elo rating
Trevor Peek
2%
Striking defense
Trevor Peek
2%
Past prime
Trevor Peek
2%
← pushes toward Kurtis Campbell pushes toward Trevor Peek →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Kurtis Campbell

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W SUB
L KO
Height: 175 cm
Weight: 145 lbs
Reach: 183 cm
Stance: Switch

Trevor Peek

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L SUB
L DEC
L DEC
W DEC
L DEC
Height: 175 cm
Weight: 145 lbs
Reach: 178 cm
Stance: Switch