Kurtis Campbell
"The Pink Panther"
8-0-0
VS
2026-09-05
UFC Fight Night: Page vs. Ruziboev
Featherweight
Trevor Peek
9-3-0
LOGISTIC (CORE) PREDICTION
Kurtis Campbell 'The Pink Panther'
62.0% CONFIDENCE
ACTUAL RESULT — MODEL WAS CORRECT
Kurtis Campbell 'The Pink Panther' won
Submission · Round 3 · 3:07
How It Ends
55%
Decision
29%
KO / TKO
16%
Submission
Decision54.9%
KO / TKO28.8%
Submission16.3%
If it's a finish, which round
Round 149.7%
Round 233.9%
Round 3+16.3%
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 45% estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Kurtis Campbell
Trevor Peek
Age edge (significant gap)
Matchup
15%
Age
Kurtis Campbell
8%
Strike rate delta r1 to r3
Trevor Peek
8%
Experience edge (total fights)
Matchup
8%
Defensive skill edge
Matchup
7%
Total career fights (incl. non-UFC)
Kurtis Campbell
4%
Avg takedowns attempted
Kurtis Campbell
4%
Distance strike defense
Trevor Peek
4%
Net striking dominance
Matchup
3%
KO power vs chin mismatch
Matchup
3%
Last 2 avg fight time
Kurtis Campbell
3%
Strikes absorbed/min
Trevor Peek
3%
Elo rating
Trevor Peek
2%
Distance strike defense
Kurtis Campbell
2%
← pushes toward Kurtis Campbell pushes toward Trevor Peek →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.

Kurtis Campbell

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W SUB
L KO
Height: 175 cm
Weight: 145 lbs
Reach: 183 cm
Stance: Switch

Trevor Peek

Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L SUB
L DEC
L DEC
W DEC
L DEC
Height: 175 cm
Weight: 145 lbs
Reach: 178 cm
Stance: Switch