Manon Fiorot
"The Beast"
13-2-0
VS
Alexa Grasso
16-5-1
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
71.5%
28.5%
Manon Fiorot
LightGBM
70.4%
29.6%
Manon Fiorot
Logistic (Core)
64.0%
36.0%
Manon Fiorot
CatBoost
currently viewing
70.7%
29.3%
Manon Fiorot
Ensemble
69.8%
30.2%
Manon Fiorot
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
63%
Decision
23%
KO / TKO
14%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 37%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why CatBoost leans this way
Manon Fiorot
Alexa Grasso
19%
13%
10%
10%
7%
6%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
← pushes toward Manon Fiorot
pushes toward Alexa Grasso →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Manon Fiorot
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
20%
Avg Duration
16.2m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
L
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
W
DEC
Height:
170 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
165 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Alexa Grasso
Win Streak
1
Finish Rate
40%
Avg Duration
17.5m
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
KO
L
DEC
L
DEC
D
DEC
W
SUB
Height:
165 cm
Weight:
125 lbs
Reach:
168 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Head-to-Head Stats
Manon Fiorot
ADVANTAGE
Alexa Grasso
Striking Accuracy
Strikes Landed/Min
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Striking Defense
Takedown Accuracy
Takedown Defense
Knockdowns/Fight
Avg Control Time (sec)
Strikes Per Round
Head Strike %
Body Strike %
Leg Strike %
Last 5 Win Rate
Last 5 Finish Rate