Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15-2-0
VS
Gregory Rodrigues
"Robocop"
18-6-0
What Every Model Says
XGBoost
72.8%
27.2%
Anthony Hernandez
LightGBM
74.5%
25.5%
Anthony Hernandez
Logistic (Core)
68.1%
31.9%
Anthony Hernandez
CatBoost
73.0%
27.0%
Anthony Hernandez
Ensemble
currently viewing
77.4%
22.6%
Anthony Hernandez
Click a model to view the fight through its eyes — probabilities, prediction and explanation update.
How It Ends
46%
Decision
37%
KO / TKO
17%
Submission
If it's a finish, which round
A separate model trained only on how fights end (not who wins) — 54%
estimated chance this fight is finished rather than going to a decision.
Why XGBoost leans this way
Anthony Hernandez
Gregory Rodrigues
15%
8%
7%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
← pushes toward Anthony Hernandez
pushes toward Gregory Rodrigues →
Bars show each factor's SHAP contribution to this specific prediction — how much it pushed
the win probability toward one fighter, given everything else the model knows. Percentages
are each factor's share of the total push across the top 30 factors.
Anthony Hernandez
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
L
DEC
L
KO
W
SUB
W
DEC
W
KO
Height:
183 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox
Gregory Rodrigues
Win Streak
N/A
Finish Rate
N/A%
Avg Duration
N/Am
Last 5 fights (most recent first)
W
DEC
W
KO
W
DEC
W
KO
L
KO
Height:
190 cm
Weight:
185 lbs
Reach:
190 cm
Stance:
Orthodox