Fight Predictions
Upcoming fights predicted by the Logistic (Core) model
105
Fights
12
Events
18
High conf (>70%)
61.6%
Avg conf
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
2026-08-29
Rei Tsuruya
-850
Kevin Borjas 'El Gallo Negro'
+550
Flyweight
75%
25%
10/10 models
75%
Sumudaerji 'The Tibetan Eagle'
-218
Alex Perez
+176
Flyweight
68%
32%
10/10 models
68%
Xiong Jingnan 'The Panda'
+200
Julia Polastri 'Psycho'
-250
Women's Strawweight
33%
67%
10/10 models
67%
Ding Meng 'The Assassin'
-144
Cameron Nelson
+118
Welterweight
34%
66%
10/10 models
66%
Lawrence Lui 'Lok Yin'
-354
Hector Santiago
+272
Bantamweight
64%
36%
10/10 models
64%
Yan Xiaonan
-154
Denise Gomes 'Dee'
+124
Women's Strawweight
37%
63%
10/10 models
63%
Umar Nurmagomedov
-900
Song Yadong 'Kung Fu Kid'
+550
Bantamweight
60%
40%
10/10 models
60%
Liu Ce
-177
Levi Rodrigues Jr. 'Baby Monster'
+150
Light Heavyweight
59%
41%
10/10 models
59%
Aoriqileng 'The Mongolian Murderer'
+359
Kai Asakura
-468
Bantamweight
43%
57%
10/10 models
57%
Namsrai Batbayar 'Steppe Warrior'
+212
Andre Lima 'Mascote'
-260
Flyweight
54%
46%
2/10 models
54%
Xiao Long
-178
Francesco Nuzzi 'Berserker'
+146
Bantamweight
47%
53%
7/10 models
53%
Jack Jenkins 'Phar'
+129
Sean Woodson 'The Sniper'
-156
Featherweight
48%
52%
8/10 models
52%
UFC Fight Night: Page vs. Ruziboev
2026-09-05
Mario Pinto
-282
Ryan Spann 'Superman'
+219
Heavyweight
71%
29%
15/15 models
71%
Oumar Sy
-202
Modestas Bukauskas 'The Baltic Gladiator'
+162
Light Heavyweight
70%
30%
15/15 models
70%
Kurtis Campbell 'The Pink Panther'
-356
Trevor Peek
+275
Featherweight
63%
37%
15/15 models
63%
Fares Ziam 'The Smile Killer'
-154
Axel Sola
+123
Lightweight
60%
40%
15/15 models
60%
Nora Cornolle
-128
Klaudia Sygula
+104
Women's Bantamweight
40%
60%
12/15 models
60%
Morgan Charriere 'The Last Pirate'
+156
Felipe Lima 'Jungle Boy'
-190
Featherweight
41%
59%
15/15 models
59%
Matthieu Duclos
-124
Luis Felipe Dias
-1
Middleweight
55%
45%
15/15 models
55%
Dan Hooker 'The Hangman'
+462
Salahdine Parnasse
-692
Lightweight
54%
46%
3/15 models
54%
Michael Page 'Venom'
-174
Nursulton Ruziboev 'Black'
+142
Middleweight
53%
47%
15/15 models
53%
Losene Keita 'Black Panther'
-362
Muhammad Naimov 'Hillman'
+270
Featherweight
50%
50%
3/15 models
50%
UFC Fight Night: Elliott vs. Chairez
2026-09-12
Tim Elliott
+188
Edgar Chairez 'Puro Chicali'
-225
Flyweight
22%
78%
15/15 models
78%
Ignacio Bahamondes 'La Jaula'
-450
Muslim Salikhov 'King of Kung Fu'
+350
Welterweight
77%
23%
15/15 models
77%
David Martinez 'Doctor'
-300
Dan Ige '50K'
+242
Bantamweight
72%
28%
15/15 models
72%
JJ Aldrich
+191
Regina Malpica Rivera 'Kill Bill'
-230
Women's Flyweight
34%
66%
15/15 models
66%
Tommy McMillen 'Gun'
-145
Marwan Rahiki 'Freaky'
+122
Featherweight
65%
35%
15/15 models
65%
Manon Fiorot 'The Beast'
-212
Alexa Grasso
+179
Women's Flyweight
60%
40%
15/15 models
60%
Waldo Cortes Acosta 'Salsa Boy'
-178
Curtis Blaydes 'Razor'
+152
Heavyweight
59%
41%
15/15 models
59%
Brandon Moreno 'The Assassin Baby'
-105
Joseph Morales 'Bopo'
-115
Flyweight
58%
42%
15/15 models
58%
Rafa Garcia 'Gifted'
+112
Rongzhu
-132
Lightweight
51%
49%
15/15 models
51%
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
2026-09-19
Joshua Van 'The Fearless'
-112
Alexandre Pantoja 'The Cannibal'
-108
Flyweight
82%
18%
21/21 models
82%
Gable Steveson
-1604
Sean Sharaf 'The Smoke'
+700
Heavyweight
79%
21%
21/21 models
79%
Casey O'Neill 'King'
-177
Eduarda Moura 'Ronda'
+150
Women's Flyweight
76%
24%
21/21 models
76%
Ryan Gandra 'Problema'
-475
Ozzy Diaz
+356
Middleweight
75%
25%
21/21 models
75%
Patricio Freire 'Pitbull'
+186
Dooho Choi 'The Korean Superboy'
-220
Featherweight
25%
75%
21/21 models
75%
Edmen Shahbazyan 'The Golden Boy'
-155
Brunno Ferreira 'The Hulk'
+132
Middleweight
69%
31%
21/21 models
69%
Arman Tsarukyan 'Ahalkalakets'
-390
Mauricio Ruffy
+292
Lightweight
67%
33%
21/21 models
67%
Alonzo Menifield 'Atomic'
+220
Iwo Baraniewski 'Rudy'
-265
Light Heavyweight
35%
65%
21/21 models
65%
Marlon Vera 'Chito'
+200
Charles Jourdain 'Air'
-240
Bantamweight
37%
63%
21/21 models
63%
Giga Chikadze 'Ninja'
+274
Joanderson Brito 'Tubarao'
-340
Featherweight
38%
62%
20/21 models
62%
Michael Aswell Jr. 'The Texas Kid'
+212
JooSang Yoo 'Zombie Jr.'
-275
Featherweight
57%
43%
10/21 models
57%
Tai Tuivasa 'Bam Bam'
+428
Robelis Despaigne 'The Big Boy'
-600
Heavyweight
54%
46%
6/21 models
54%
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
2026-09-26
Raul Rosas Jr. 'El Nino Problema'
-192
Raoni Barcelos
+160
Bantamweight
76%
24%
21/21 models
76%
Vanessa Demopoulos 'Lil Monster'
+500
Yazmin Jauregui
-724
Women's Strawweight
25%
75%
20/21 models
75%
John Castaneda 'Sexi Mexi'
-278
Alatengheili 'The Mongolian Knight'
+221
Bantamweight
69%
31%
21/21 models
69%
Montel Jackson 'Quik'
-173
Ricky Simon
+144
Bantamweight
67%
33%
21/21 models
67%
Rodolfo Vieira
-109
Robert Bryczek
-109
Middleweight
64%
36%
21/21 models
64%
Mickey Gall
-150
Sedriques Dumas 'The Reaper'
+123
Middleweight
59%
41%
21/21 models
59%
Brady Hiestand 'Bam Bam'
+258
Rinya Nakamura 'Hybred'
-332
Bantamweight
54%
46%
8/21 models
54%
Norma Dumont 'The Immortal'
+110
Ailin Perez 'Fiona'
-134
Women's Bantamweight
47%
53%
14/21 models
53%
Josiah Harrell 'Muscle Hamster'
-109
Thin data
Elves Brener
-109
Lightweight
52%
48%
10/21 models
52%
Rodolfo Bellato 'Trator'
-162
Christian Edwards 'Pain'
+133
Thin data
Light Heavyweight
52%
48%
21/21 models
52%
UFC 332
2026-10-03
Ateba Gautier 'The Silent Assassin'
Roman Kopylov
Middleweight
80%
20%
20/20 models
80%
Damian Pinas 'The Baba Yaga'
Thin data
Andrey Pulyaev
Middleweight
76%
24%
20/20 models
76%
Deiveson Figueiredo 'Deus da Guerra'
+415
Payton Talbott
-550
Bantamweight
25%
75%
21/21 models
75%
Khaos Williams 'The OxFighter'
Roberto Soldic 'Robocop'
Thin data
Welterweight
65%
35%
18/20 models
65%
Court McGee 'The Crusher'
Eric Nolan 'Nightime'
Thin data
Welterweight
40%
60%
15/20 models
60%
Natalia Silva
-228
Wang Cong 'The Joker'
+180
Women's Flyweight
57%
43%
16/21 models
57%
Anthony Wint 'Bow Down'
Thin data
Lucas Armand 'Do or Die'
Thin data
Heavyweight
56%
44%
20/20 models
56%
Johnny Walker
Mick Parkin
Heavyweight
44%
56%
9/20 models
56%
Imanol Rodriguez 'Himan'
Thin data
Alden Coria 'Cobra'
Flyweight
55%
45%
14/20 models
55%
Marvin Vettori 'The Italian Dream'
Ismail Naurdiev
Middleweight
46%
54%
20/20 models
54%
King Green
Esteban Ribovics 'El Gringo'
Lightweight
53%
47%
20/20 models
53%
Marcus McGhee 'The Maniac'
Benardo Sopaj 'Lion King'
Bantamweight
52%
48%
8/20 models
52%
Rafael Dos Anjos
Alexander Hernandez 'El Gran Chango'
Lightweight
49%
51%
18/20 models
51%
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
2026-10-10
Brendan Allen 'All In'
Christian Leroy Duncan 'CLD'
Middleweight
41%
59%
20/20 models
59%
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
2026-10-17
Erin Blanchfield 'Cold Blooded'
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Women's Flyweight
75%
25%
20/20 models
75%
Marc-Andre Barriault 'Powerbar'
Kyle Daukaus
Middleweight
33%
67%
12/20 models
67%
Chad Anheliger 'The Monster'
Steven Koslow 'Obi Won Shinobi The Pillow'
Thin data
Bantamweight
35%
65%
17/20 models
65%
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Katlyn Cerminara 'Blonde Fighter'
Women's Flyweight
64%
36%
20/20 models
64%
Kyle Nelson 'The Monster'
Cristian Perez 'El Puas'
Thin data
Lightweight
36%
64%
20/20 models
64%
Melissa Croden 'Scare'
Chelsea Chandler
Women's Bantamweight
63%
37%
20/20 models
63%
Cody Chovancek 'The Best Fisherman in MMA'
Thin data
SuYoung You 'Yoo-Jitsu'
Bantamweight
58%
42%
19/20 models
58%
Javad Mahjoub
Thin data
Louie Sutherland 'Vanilla Gorilla'
Heavyweight
58%
42%
20/20 models
58%
Mandel Nallo 'Mango'
Thin data
Nate Landwehr 'The Train'
Lightweight
56%
44%
20/20 models
56%
Joaquin Buckley 'New Mansa'
Mike Malott 'Proper'
Welterweight
45%
55%
16/20 models
55%
Julien Leblanc
Thin data
Gilbert Urbina 'The RGV Bad Boy'
Middleweight
45%
55%
18/20 models
55%
Tanner Boser 'The Bulldozer'
Jhonata Diniz
Heavyweight
46%
54%
11/20 models
54%
Louis Jourdain 'The Mad Prince'
Thin data
Timmy Cuamba 'Twilight'
Bantamweight
52%
48%
20/20 models
52%
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
2026-10-24
Nikita Krylov 'The Miner'
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 'Hunter'
Light Heavyweight
30%
70%
19/20 models
70%
Abus Magomedov
Cam Rowston
Middleweight
35%
65%
20/20 models
65%
Arnold Allen 'Almighty'
Aaron Pico
Thin data
Featherweight
63%
37%
15/20 models
63%
Alexander Volkanovski 'The Great'
-115
Movsar Evloev
-108
Featherweight
60%
40%
20/21 models
60%
Dominick Reyes 'The Devastator'
Azamat Murzakanov 'The Professional'
Light Heavyweight
60%
40%
20/20 models
60%
Grant Dawson 'KGD'
Nurullo Aliev 'Tajik Eagle'
Lightweight
58%
42%
19/20 models
58%
Alexander Volkov 'Drago'
Rizvan Kuniev
Heavyweight
56%
44%
14/20 models
56%
Petr Yan 'No Mercy'
-185
Merab Dvalishvili 'The Machine'
+148
Bantamweight
54%
46%
15/21 models
54%
Lone'er Kavanagh
Ramazan Temirov 'Temurlan'
Flyweight
52%
48%
7/20 models
52%
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Kropschot
2026-10-31
Lucia Szabova 'Silent Killer'
Thin data
Tainara Lisboa 'Thai Panther'
Women's Flyweight
63%
37%
20/20 models
63%
Renato Moicano
Tom Nolan 'Big Train'
Lightweight
38%
62%
20/20 models
62%
Nick Klein 'Blue Collar'
Thin data
Joseph Kropschot 'The Land Animal'
Thin data
Middleweight
48%
52%
6/20 models
52%
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady
2026-11-07
Gabriel Bonfim 'Marretinha'
Sean Brady
Welterweight
54%
46%
19/20 models
54%
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
2026-11-14
Bilal Hasan
Thin data
Luis Gurule 'Grim'
Flyweight
77%
23%
20/20 models
77%
Bia Mesquita
Macy Chiasson
Women's Bantamweight
69%
31%
19/20 models
69%
Jim Miller 'A-10'
Terrance McKinney 'T. Wrecks'
Lightweight
32%
68%
20/20 models
68%
Drew Dober
Chris Duncan 'The Problem'
Lightweight
37%
63%
16/20 models
63%
Kayla Harrison
-200
Amanda Nunes 'The Lioness'
+157
Women's Bantamweight
44%
56%
4/21 models
56%
Nazim Sadykhov 'Black Wolf'
Jefferson Nascimento 'Toddynho'
Thin data
Lightweight
56%
44%
15/20 models
56%
Uros Medic 'The Doctor'
Kevin Holland 'Trailblazer'
Welterweight
56%
44%
18/20 models
56%
Ciryl Gane 'Bon Gamin'
-280
Josh Hokit
+218
Heavyweight
53%
47%
16/21 models
53%
Stephen Thompson 'Wonderboy'
Charles Radtke 'Chuck Buffalo'
Welterweight
48%
52%
19/20 models
52%
Adrian Yanez
Juan Diaz 'Pegajoso'
Thin data
Bantamweight
52%
48%
6/20 models
52%
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw'
Baisangur Susurkaev 'Hunter'
Middleweight
48%
52%
3/20 models
52%
Caio Borralho 'The Natural'
Yousri Belgaroui
Middleweight
51%
49%
4/20 models
51%