Fight Predictions

Upcoming fights predicted by the Logistic (Core) model

Upcoming All
105 Fights
12 Events
18 High conf (>70%)
61.6% Avg conf

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

2026-08-29
Rei Tsuruya -850
Kevin Borjas 'El Gallo Negro' +550
Flyweight
75% 25%
10/10 models
75%
Sumudaerji 'The Tibetan Eagle' -218
Alex Perez +176
Flyweight
68% 32%
10/10 models
68%
Xiong Jingnan 'The Panda' +200
Julia Polastri 'Psycho' -250
Women's Strawweight
33% 67%
10/10 models
67%
Ding Meng 'The Assassin' -144
Cameron Nelson +118
Welterweight
34% 66%
10/10 models
66%
Lawrence Lui 'Lok Yin' -354
Hector Santiago +272
Bantamweight
64% 36%
10/10 models
64%
Yan Xiaonan -154
Denise Gomes 'Dee' +124
Women's Strawweight
37% 63%
10/10 models
63%
Umar Nurmagomedov -900
Song Yadong 'Kung Fu Kid' +550
Bantamweight
60% 40%
10/10 models
60%
Liu Ce -177
Levi Rodrigues Jr. 'Baby Monster' +150
Light Heavyweight
59% 41%
10/10 models
59%
Aoriqileng 'The Mongolian Murderer' +359
Kai Asakura -468
Bantamweight
43% 57%
10/10 models
57%
Namsrai Batbayar 'Steppe Warrior' +212
Andre Lima 'Mascote' -260
Flyweight
54% 46%
2/10 models
54%
Xiao Long -178
Francesco Nuzzi 'Berserker' +146
Bantamweight
47% 53%
7/10 models
53%
Jack Jenkins 'Phar' +129
Sean Woodson 'The Sniper' -156
Featherweight
48% 52%
8/10 models
52%

UFC Fight Night: Page vs. Ruziboev

2026-09-05
Mario Pinto -282
Ryan Spann 'Superman' +219
Heavyweight
71% 29%
15/15 models
71%
Oumar Sy -202
Modestas Bukauskas 'The Baltic Gladiator' +162
Light Heavyweight
70% 30%
15/15 models
70%
Kurtis Campbell 'The Pink Panther' -356
Trevor Peek +275
Featherweight
63% 37%
15/15 models
63%
Fares Ziam 'The Smile Killer' -154
Axel Sola +123
Lightweight
60% 40%
15/15 models
60%
Nora Cornolle -128
Klaudia Sygula +104
Women's Bantamweight
40% 60%
12/15 models
60%
Morgan Charriere 'The Last Pirate' +156
Felipe Lima 'Jungle Boy' -190
Featherweight
41% 59%
15/15 models
59%
Matthieu Duclos -124
Luis Felipe Dias -1
Middleweight
55% 45%
15/15 models
55%
Dan Hooker 'The Hangman' +462
Salahdine Parnasse -692
Lightweight
54% 46%
3/15 models
54%
Michael Page 'Venom' -174
Nursulton Ruziboev 'Black' +142
Middleweight
53% 47%
15/15 models
53%
Losene Keita 'Black Panther' -362
Muhammad Naimov 'Hillman' +270
Featherweight
50% 50%
3/15 models
50%

UFC Fight Night: Elliott vs. Chairez

2026-09-12
Tim Elliott +188
Edgar Chairez 'Puro Chicali' -225
Flyweight
22% 78%
15/15 models
78%
Ignacio Bahamondes 'La Jaula' -450
Muslim Salikhov 'King of Kung Fu' +350
Welterweight
77% 23%
15/15 models
77%
David Martinez 'Doctor' -300
Dan Ige '50K' +242
Bantamweight
72% 28%
15/15 models
72%
JJ Aldrich +191
Regina Malpica Rivera 'Kill Bill' -230
Women's Flyweight
34% 66%
15/15 models
66%
Tommy McMillen 'Gun' -145
Marwan Rahiki 'Freaky' +122
Featherweight
65% 35%
15/15 models
65%
Manon Fiorot 'The Beast' -212
Alexa Grasso +179
Women's Flyweight
60% 40%
15/15 models
60%
Waldo Cortes Acosta 'Salsa Boy' -178
Curtis Blaydes 'Razor' +152
Heavyweight
59% 41%
15/15 models
59%
Brandon Moreno 'The Assassin Baby' -105
Joseph Morales 'Bopo' -115
Flyweight
58% 42%
15/15 models
58%
Rafa Garcia 'Gifted' +112
Rongzhu -132
Lightweight
51% 49%
15/15 models
51%

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

2026-09-19
Joshua Van 'The Fearless' -112
Alexandre Pantoja 'The Cannibal' -108
Flyweight
82% 18%
21/21 models
82%
Gable Steveson -1604
Sean Sharaf 'The Smoke' +700
Heavyweight
79% 21%
21/21 models
79%
Casey O'Neill 'King' -177
Eduarda Moura 'Ronda' +150
Women's Flyweight
76% 24%
21/21 models
76%
Ryan Gandra 'Problema' -475
Ozzy Diaz +356
Middleweight
75% 25%
21/21 models
75%
Patricio Freire 'Pitbull' +186
Dooho Choi 'The Korean Superboy' -220
Featherweight
25% 75%
21/21 models
75%
Edmen Shahbazyan 'The Golden Boy' -155
Brunno Ferreira 'The Hulk' +132
Middleweight
69% 31%
21/21 models
69%
Arman Tsarukyan 'Ahalkalakets' -390
Mauricio Ruffy +292
Lightweight
67% 33%
21/21 models
67%
Alonzo Menifield 'Atomic' +220
Iwo Baraniewski 'Rudy' -265
Light Heavyweight
35% 65%
21/21 models
65%
Marlon Vera 'Chito' +200
Charles Jourdain 'Air' -240
Bantamweight
37% 63%
21/21 models
63%
Giga Chikadze 'Ninja' +274
Joanderson Brito 'Tubarao' -340
Featherweight
38% 62%
20/21 models
62%
Michael Aswell Jr. 'The Texas Kid' +212
JooSang Yoo 'Zombie Jr.' -275
Featherweight
57% 43%
10/21 models
57%
Tai Tuivasa 'Bam Bam' +428
Robelis Despaigne 'The Big Boy' -600
Heavyweight
54% 46%
6/21 models
54%

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

2026-09-26
Raul Rosas Jr. 'El Nino Problema' -192
Raoni Barcelos +160
Bantamweight
76% 24%
21/21 models
76%
Vanessa Demopoulos 'Lil Monster' +500
Yazmin Jauregui -724
Women's Strawweight
25% 75%
20/21 models
75%
John Castaneda 'Sexi Mexi' -278
Alatengheili 'The Mongolian Knight' +221
Bantamweight
69% 31%
21/21 models
69%
Montel Jackson 'Quik' -173
Ricky Simon +144
Bantamweight
67% 33%
21/21 models
67%
Rodolfo Vieira -109
Robert Bryczek -109
Middleweight
64% 36%
21/21 models
64%
Mickey Gall -150
Sedriques Dumas 'The Reaper' +123
Middleweight
59% 41%
21/21 models
59%
Brady Hiestand 'Bam Bam' +258
Rinya Nakamura 'Hybred' -332
Bantamweight
54% 46%
8/21 models
54%
Norma Dumont 'The Immortal' +110
Ailin Perez 'Fiona' -134
Women's Bantamweight
47% 53%
14/21 models
53%
Josiah Harrell 'Muscle Hamster' -109 Thin data
Elves Brener -109
Lightweight
52% 48%
10/21 models
52%
Rodolfo Bellato 'Trator' -162
Christian Edwards 'Pain' +133 Thin data
Light Heavyweight
52% 48%
21/21 models
52%

UFC 332

2026-10-03
Ateba Gautier 'The Silent Assassin'
Roman Kopylov
Middleweight
80% 20%
20/20 models
80%
Damian Pinas 'The Baba Yaga' Thin data
Andrey Pulyaev
Middleweight
76% 24%
20/20 models
76%
Deiveson Figueiredo 'Deus da Guerra' +415
Payton Talbott -550
Bantamweight
25% 75%
21/21 models
75%
Khaos Williams 'The OxFighter'
Roberto Soldic 'Robocop' Thin data
Welterweight
65% 35%
18/20 models
65%
Court McGee 'The Crusher'
Eric Nolan 'Nightime' Thin data
Welterweight
40% 60%
15/20 models
60%
Natalia Silva -228
Wang Cong 'The Joker' +180
Women's Flyweight
57% 43%
16/21 models
57%
Anthony Wint 'Bow Down' Thin data
Lucas Armand 'Do or Die' Thin data
Heavyweight
56% 44%
20/20 models
56%
Johnny Walker
Mick Parkin
Heavyweight
44% 56%
9/20 models
56%
Imanol Rodriguez 'Himan' Thin data
Alden Coria 'Cobra'
Flyweight
55% 45%
14/20 models
55%
Marvin Vettori 'The Italian Dream'
Ismail Naurdiev
Middleweight
46% 54%
20/20 models
54%
King Green
Esteban Ribovics 'El Gringo'
Lightweight
53% 47%
20/20 models
53%
Marcus McGhee 'The Maniac'
Benardo Sopaj 'Lion King'
Bantamweight
52% 48%
8/20 models
52%
Rafael Dos Anjos
Alexander Hernandez 'El Gran Chango'
Lightweight
49% 51%
18/20 models
51%

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

2026-10-10
Brendan Allen 'All In'
Christian Leroy Duncan 'CLD'
Middleweight
41% 59%
20/20 models
59%

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

2026-10-17
Erin Blanchfield 'Cold Blooded'
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Women's Flyweight
75% 25%
20/20 models
75%
Marc-Andre Barriault 'Powerbar'
Kyle Daukaus
Middleweight
33% 67%
12/20 models
67%
Chad Anheliger 'The Monster'
Steven Koslow 'Obi Won Shinobi The Pillow' Thin data
Bantamweight
35% 65%
17/20 models
65%
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Katlyn Cerminara 'Blonde Fighter'
Women's Flyweight
64% 36%
20/20 models
64%
Kyle Nelson 'The Monster'
Cristian Perez 'El Puas' Thin data
Lightweight
36% 64%
20/20 models
64%
Melissa Croden 'Scare'
Chelsea Chandler
Women's Bantamweight
63% 37%
20/20 models
63%
Cody Chovancek 'The Best Fisherman in MMA' Thin data
SuYoung You 'Yoo-Jitsu'
Bantamweight
58% 42%
19/20 models
58%
Javad Mahjoub Thin data
Louie Sutherland 'Vanilla Gorilla'
Heavyweight
58% 42%
20/20 models
58%
Mandel Nallo 'Mango' Thin data
Nate Landwehr 'The Train'
Lightweight
56% 44%
20/20 models
56%
Joaquin Buckley 'New Mansa'
Mike Malott 'Proper'
Welterweight
45% 55%
16/20 models
55%
Julien Leblanc Thin data
Gilbert Urbina 'The RGV Bad Boy'
Middleweight
45% 55%
18/20 models
55%
Tanner Boser 'The Bulldozer'
Jhonata Diniz
Heavyweight
46% 54%
11/20 models
54%
Louis Jourdain 'The Mad Prince' Thin data
Timmy Cuamba 'Twilight'
Bantamweight
52% 48%
20/20 models
52%

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

2026-10-24
Nikita Krylov 'The Miner'
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 'Hunter'
Light Heavyweight
30% 70%
19/20 models
70%
Abus Magomedov
Cam Rowston
Middleweight
35% 65%
20/20 models
65%
Arnold Allen 'Almighty'
Aaron Pico Thin data
Featherweight
63% 37%
15/20 models
63%
Alexander Volkanovski 'The Great' -115
Movsar Evloev -108
Featherweight
60% 40%
20/21 models
60%
Dominick Reyes 'The Devastator'
Azamat Murzakanov 'The Professional'
Light Heavyweight
60% 40%
20/20 models
60%
Grant Dawson 'KGD'
Nurullo Aliev 'Tajik Eagle'
Lightweight
58% 42%
19/20 models
58%
Alexander Volkov 'Drago'
Rizvan Kuniev
Heavyweight
56% 44%
14/20 models
56%
Petr Yan 'No Mercy' -185
Merab Dvalishvili 'The Machine' +148
Bantamweight
54% 46%
15/21 models
54%
Lone'er Kavanagh
Ramazan Temirov 'Temurlan'
Flyweight
52% 48%
7/20 models
52%

UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Kropschot

2026-10-31
Lucia Szabova 'Silent Killer' Thin data
Tainara Lisboa 'Thai Panther'
Women's Flyweight
63% 37%
20/20 models
63%
Renato Moicano
Tom Nolan 'Big Train'
Lightweight
38% 62%
20/20 models
62%
Nick Klein 'Blue Collar' Thin data
Joseph Kropschot 'The Land Animal' Thin data
Middleweight
48% 52%
6/20 models
52%

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

2026-11-07
Gabriel Bonfim 'Marretinha'
Sean Brady
Welterweight
54% 46%
19/20 models
54%

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

2026-11-14
Bilal Hasan Thin data
Luis Gurule 'Grim'
Flyweight
77% 23%
20/20 models
77%
Bia Mesquita
Macy Chiasson
Women's Bantamweight
69% 31%
19/20 models
69%
Jim Miller 'A-10'
Terrance McKinney 'T. Wrecks'
Lightweight
32% 68%
20/20 models
68%
Drew Dober
Chris Duncan 'The Problem'
Lightweight
37% 63%
16/20 models
63%
Kayla Harrison -200
Amanda Nunes 'The Lioness' +157
Women's Bantamweight
44% 56%
4/21 models
56%
Nazim Sadykhov 'Black Wolf'
Jefferson Nascimento 'Toddynho' Thin data
Lightweight
56% 44%
15/20 models
56%
Uros Medic 'The Doctor'
Kevin Holland 'Trailblazer'
Welterweight
56% 44%
18/20 models
56%
Ciryl Gane 'Bon Gamin' -280
Josh Hokit +218
Heavyweight
53% 47%
16/21 models
53%
Stephen Thompson 'Wonderboy'
Charles Radtke 'Chuck Buffalo'
Welterweight
48% 52%
19/20 models
52%
Adrian Yanez
Juan Diaz 'Pegajoso' Thin data
Bantamweight
52% 48%
6/20 models
52%
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw'
Baisangur Susurkaev 'Hunter'
Middleweight
48% 52%
3/20 models
52%
Caio Borralho 'The Natural'
Yousri Belgaroui
Middleweight
51% 49%
4/20 models
51%