Fight Predictions

Upcoming fights predicted by the Main + Market model

Upcoming All
80 Fights
7 Events
18 High conf (>70%)
64.3% Avg conf
Upset Alerts 7
+16pts
Bolaji Oki 'The Zulu Warrior' +132 vs Daniel Santos 'Willycat' STRONG
Market 41% → Model 59% · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Featherweight
+9pts
Nikita Krylov 'The Miner' +451 vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 'Hunter'
Market 17% → Model 27% · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Light Heavyweight
+8pts
Dominick Reyes 'The Devastator' +173 vs Azamat Murzakanov 'The Professional'
Market 35% → Model 45% · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Light Heavyweight
+7pts
Nick Klein 'Blue Collar' +280 vs Joseph Kropschot 'The Land Animal'
Market 25% → Model 33% · UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Kropschot · Middleweight
+6pts
Jacob Malkoun 'Mamba' +132 vs Abubakar Vagaev
Market 41% → Model 49% · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Middleweight
+5pts
Rizvan Kuniev +222 vs Alexander Volkov 'Drago'
Market 30% → Model 36% · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Heavyweight
+5pts
Talita Alencar 'Problem Child' +189 vs Piera Rodriguez 'La Fiera'
Market 33% → Model 40% · UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Kropschot · Women's Strawweight
Underdogs the Market Margin model likes at least 5 points more than the opening line needs, whichever model you have selected. In backtests on ~2,800 past fights (opening price, every prediction out-of-sample), underdogs flagged this way won 48% and returned about +18% on flat bets, positive in all 5 time windows — but expect less live: lines move, the sample is finite, and results aren't guaranteed.

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

2026-10-17
Julien Leblanc +429
Nicholas Galanti -620
Middleweight+5 vs mkt
15% 85%
17/17 models
+5 vs mkt mkt 80% · model 85%
85%
Kyle Nelson 'The Monster' +275
Cristian Perez 'El Puas' -360
Lightweight+5 vs mkt
17% 83%
17/17 models
+5 vs mkt mkt 77% · model 83%
83%
Erin Blanchfield 'Cold Blooded' -335 VALUE +8
Jasmine Jasudavicius +260
Women's Flyweight+10 vs mkt
77% 23%
17/17 models
+10 vs mkt mkt 67% · model 77%
77%
Melissa Croden 'Scare' -282
Chelsea Chandler +228
Women's Bantamweight+7 vs mkt
76% 24%
17/17 models
+7 vs mkt mkt 69% · model 76%
76%
Mandel Nallo 'Mango' -288
Nate Landwehr 'The Train' +220
Lightweight+2 vs mkt
70% 30%
17/17 models
+2 vs mkt mkt 67% · model 70%
70%
Cody Chovancek 'The Best Fisherman in MMA' -140 VALUE +5
SuYoung You 'Yoo-Jitsu' +115
Bantamweight+1 vs mkt
65% 35%
17/17 models
+1 vs mkt mkt 64% · model 65%
65%
Joaquin Buckley 'New Mansa' +6
Mike Malott 'Proper' -130
Welterweight-7 vs mkt
65% 35%
6/17 models
-7 vs mkt mkt 72% · model 65%
65%
Tanner Boser 'The Bulldozer' +200
Jhonata Diniz -250
Heavyweight-3 vs mkt
37% 63%
10/17 models
-3 vs mkt mkt 67% · model 63%
63%
Marc-Andre Barriault 'Powerbar' +172 VALUE +5
Kyle Daukaus -215
Middleweight-4 vs mkt
38% 62%
13/17 models
-4 vs mkt mkt 67% · model 62%
62%
Katlyn Cerminara 'Blonde Fighter' -290
Mackenzie Stiller 'Mack-Judo' +222 STRONG VALUE +16
Women's Flyweight-13 vs mkt
58% 42%
6/17 models
-13 vs mkt mkt 71% · model 58%
58%
Louis Jourdain 'The Mad Prince' -215
Timmy Cuamba 'Twilight' +168
Bantamweight+3 vs mkt
56% 44%
17/17 models
+3 vs mkt mkt 53% · model 56%
56%
Chad Anheliger 'The Monster' +9
Steven Koslow 'Obi Won Shinobi The Pillow' -130 STRONG VALUE +11
Bantamweight+10 vs mkt
44% 56%
17/17 models
+10 vs mkt mkt 46% · model 56%
56%

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

2026-10-24
Iasmin Lucindo -362
Nicolle Caliari +278
Women's Strawweight+4 vs mkt
83% 17%
17/17 models
+4 vs mkt mkt 79% · model 83%
83%
Nikita Krylov 'The Miner' +344 VALUE +9
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 'Hunter' -450
Light Heavyweight+0 vs mkt
17% 83%
17/17 models
+0 vs mkt mkt 83% · model 83%
83%
Colby Thicknesse 'Slickness' +387
Asaf Chopurov 'Honey Badger' -500 Thin data
Bantamweight-6 vs mkt
26% 74%
6/17 models
-6 vs mkt mkt 80% · model 74%
74%
Alexander Volkov 'Drago' -129
Rizvan Kuniev +105 VALUE +5
Heavyweight-3 vs mkt
67% 33%
13/17 models
-3 vs mkt mkt 70% · model 67%
67%
Petr Yan 'No Mercy' -185
Merab Dvalishvili 'The Machine' +148
Bantamweight+1 vs mkt
62% 38%
15/17 models
+1 vs mkt mkt 61% · model 62%
62%
Grant Dawson 'KGD' -125 STRONG VALUE +14
Nurullo Aliev 'Tajik Eagle' +102
Lightweight+11 vs mkt
61% 39%
17/17 models
+11 vs mkt mkt 50% · model 61%
61%
Aaron Pico +102 Thin data
Losene Keita 'Black Panther' -125 Thin data
Featherweight-0 vs mkt
60% 40%
16/17 models
-0 vs mkt mkt 60% · model 60%
60%
Abus Magomedov -104
Cam Rowston -118
Middleweight+9 vs mkt
41% 59%
17/17 models
+9 vs mkt mkt 50% · model 59%
59%
Kody Steele -165 Thin data VALUE +9
Noah Gugnon +138 Thin data
Lightweight+1 vs mkt
59% 41%
12/17 models
+1 vs mkt mkt 58% · model 59%
59%
Dominick Reyes 'The Devastator' +188 VALUE +8
Azamat Murzakanov 'The Professional' -232
Light Heavyweight-8 vs mkt
43% 57%
6/17 models
-8 vs mkt mkt 65% · model 57%
57%
Bolaji Oki 'The Zulu Warrior' +104 STRONG VALUE +16
Daniel Santos 'Willycat' -126
Featherweight-4 vs mkt
45% 55%
2/17 models
-4 vs mkt mkt 59% · model 55%
55%
Lone'er Kavanagh -110
Ramazan Temirov 'Temurlan' -110
Flyweight-7 vs mkt
52% 48%
9/17 models
-7 vs mkt mkt 59% · model 52%
52%
Alexander Volkanovski 'The Great' -115
Movsar Evloev -108
Featherweight+2 vs mkt
49% 51%
6/17 models
+2 vs mkt mkt 49% · model 51%
51%
Abubakar Vagaev -190 Thin data
Jacob Malkoun 'Mamba' +161 VALUE +6
Middleweight+9 vs mkt
49% 51%
12/17 models
+9 vs mkt mkt 41% · model 51%
51%

UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Kropschot

2026-10-31
Lucia Szabova 'Silent Killer' -550 Thin data
Tainara Lisboa 'Thai Panther' +415
Women's Flyweight+2 vs mkt
79% 21%
17/17 models
+2 vs mkt mkt 77% · model 79%
79%
Francis Marshall 'Fire'
Gaston Bolanos 'The Dreamkiller'
Featherweight
77% 23%
16/16 models
no line yet
77%
Yana Santos +174
Luana Santos -200 STRONG VALUE +11
Women's Bantamweight+16 vs mkt
23% 77%
17/17 models
+16 vs mkt mkt 61% · model 77%
77%
Azamat Bekoev 'Iron' -400
Andre Petroski +300
Middleweight-5 vs mkt
74% 26%
12/17 models
-5 vs mkt mkt 79% · model 74%
74%
Zach Reese 'Savage'
Mickey Gall
Middleweight
70% 30%
16/16 models
no line yet
70%
Nick Klein 'Blue Collar' +252 Thin data VALUE +7
Joseph Kropschot 'The Land Animal' -310 Thin data
Middleweight-5 vs mkt
30% 70%
9/17 models
-5 vs mkt mkt 75% · model 70%
70%
Francis Marshall 'Fire' -255
Dakota Hope 'Huracan' +211 Thin data
Featherweight+1 vs mkt
66% 34%
17/17 models
+1 vs mkt mkt 65% · model 66%
66%
Rodrigo Sezinando -180 Thin data
Theodor Berggren 'Simba' +157 Thin data
Welterweight-0 vs mkt
66% 34%
17/17 models
-0 vs mkt mkt 66% · model 66%
66%
Renato Moicano -2
Tom Nolan 'Big Train' -118 VALUE +8
Lightweight+10 vs mkt
36% 64%
17/17 models
+10 vs mkt mkt 53% · model 64%
64%
Julian Erosa 'Juicy J' +157
JeongYeong Lee 'Korean Tiger' -180
Featherweight-1 vs mkt
37% 63%
17/17 models
-1 vs mkt mkt 65% · model 63%
63%
Ode Osbourne 'The Jamaican Sensation' -126
Cody Durden 'Custom Made' +106
Flyweight+1 vs mkt
63% 37%
16/17 models
+1 vs mkt mkt 62% · model 63%
63%
Randy Brown 'Rudeboy'
Jacobe Smith 'Cobe'
Welterweight
37% 63%
13/16 models
no line yet
63%
Talita Alencar 'Problem Child' +211 VALUE +5
Piera Rodriguez 'La Fiera' -255
Women's Strawweight-7 vs mkt
40% 60%
8/17 models
-7 vs mkt mkt 67% · model 60%
60%
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 'Mufasa' -240 Thin data
Farman Hasanov +200 Thin data
Welterweight-3 vs mkt
58% 42%
12/17 models
-3 vs mkt mkt 62% · model 58%
58%
Randy Brown 'Rudeboy'
Carlos Leal 'The Lion'
Welterweight
58% 42%
16/16 models
no line yet
58%

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

2026-11-07
Priscila Cachoeira 'Zombie Girl'
Nina Milosevic 'Queen Beast' Thin data
Women's Bantamweight
27% 73%
16/16 models
no line yet
73%
Gabriel Lorenco 'Black Mamba' Thin data
Alvin Hines 'Goozie' Thin data
Heavyweight
73% 27%
16/16 models
no line yet
73%
Seokhyeon Ko 'The Korean Tyson'
Wellington Turman 'The Prodigy'
Welterweight
72% 28%
16/16 models
no line yet
72%
Austin Bashi
Lucas Brennan 'Skywalker' Thin data
Featherweight
66% 34%
16/16 models
no line yet
66%
Jonny Parsons 'The Sluggernaut' Thin data
Jose Henrique 'Canela' Thin data
Welterweight
34% 66%
16/16 models
no line yet
66%
Karine Silva 'Killer'
Gabriella Fernandes 'Gabi'
Women's Flyweight
66% 34%
16/16 models
no line yet
66%
Davey Grant 'Dangerous'
Elijah Smith 'Swift'
Bantamweight
34% 66%
16/16 models
no line yet
66%
Mantas Kondratavicius Thin data
Wes Schultz 'Party Time'
Middleweight
65% 35%
16/16 models
no line yet
65%
Tatiana Suarez
Virna Jandiroba 'Carcara'
Women's Strawweight
65% 35%
16/16 models
no line yet
65%
Keiichiro Nakamura Thin data
Ollie Schmid 'The Hungarian Stallion' Thin data
Featherweight
64% 36%
16/16 models
no line yet
64%
Gabriel Bonfim 'Marretinha'
Sean Brady
Welterweight
59% 41%
16/16 models
no line yet
59%
Billy Elekana 'Son of Susie'
Lucas Fernando Thin data
Light Heavyweight
44% 56%
15/16 models
no line yet
56%
Jose Delano Thin data
Murtazali Magomedov 'The Highlight' Thin data
Featherweight
56% 44%
11/16 models
no line yet
56%

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

2026-11-14
Bilal Hasan Thin data
Luis Gurule 'Grim'
Flyweight
75% 25%
16/16 models
no line yet
75%
Bia Mesquita
Macy Chiasson
Women's Bantamweight
70% 30%
15/16 models
no line yet
70%
Kayla Harrison -200
Amanda Nunes 'The Lioness' +157
Women's Bantamweight+3 vs mkt
69% 31%
14/17 models
+3 vs mkt mkt 65% · model 69%
69%
Jim Miller 'A-10'
Terrance McKinney 'T. Wrecks'
Lightweight
34% 66%
16/16 models
no line yet
66%
Stephen Thompson 'Wonderboy'
Charles Radtke 'Chuck Buffalo'
Welterweight
35% 65%
16/16 models
no line yet
65%
Uros Medic 'The Doctor'
Kevin Holland 'Trailblazer'
Welterweight
62% 38%
13/16 models
no line yet
62%
Adrian Yanez
Juan Diaz 'Pegajoso' Thin data
Bantamweight
38% 62%
12/16 models
no line yet
62%
Drew Dober
Chris Duncan 'The Problem'
Lightweight
45% 55%
11/16 models
no line yet
55%
Donte Johnson 'Lock Jaw'
Baisangur Susurkaev 'Hunter'
Middleweight
54% 46%
12/16 models
no line yet
54%
Ciryl Gane 'Bon Gamin' -280
Josh Hokit +218
Heavyweight-5 vs mkt
53% 47%
13/17 models
-5 vs mkt mkt 58% · model 53%
53%
Nazim Sadykhov 'Black Wolf'
Jefferson Nascimento 'Toddynho' Thin data
Lightweight
53% 47%
11/16 models
no line yet
53%
Caio Borralho 'The Natural'
Yousri Belgaroui
Middleweight
48% 52%
12/16 models
no line yet
52%

UFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. Stirling

2026-11-21
Jared Cannonier 'The Killa Gorilla'
Ikram Aliskerov
Middleweight
25% 75%
16/16 models
no line yet
75%
Shamil Gaziev
Tallison Teixeira 'Xicao'
Heavyweight
32% 68%
16/16 models
no line yet
68%
Jiri Prochazka
Navajo Stirling
Light Heavyweight
35% 65%
16/16 models
no line yet
65%
Dan Hooker 'The Hangman'
Brian Ortega 'T-City'
Lightweight
62% 38%
15/16 models
no line yet
62%
Asu Almabayev 'Zulfikar'
Kyoji Horiguchi
Flyweight
59% 41%
16/16 models
no line yet
59%
Amir Albazi 'The Prince'
Alessandro Costa 'Nono'
Flyweight
41% 59%
13/16 models
no line yet
59%
Aleksandre Topuria 'El Conquistador' Thin data
Santiago Luna 'BorderBoy'
Bantamweight
41% 59%
16/16 models
no line yet
59%
Jake Matthews 'The Celtic Kid'
Tahir Abdullayev 'Tank' Thin data
Welterweight
58% 42%
14/16 models
no line yet
58%
Aljamain Sterling 'Funk Master'
Kevin Vallejos 'El Chino'
Featherweight
51% 49%
10/16 models
no line yet
51%

UFC 335

2026-12-12
Joe Pyfer 'Bodybagz' -168
Bo Nickal +139
Middleweight+2 vs mkt
30% 70%
15/17 models
+2 vs mkt mkt 69% · model 70%
70%
Brandon Moreno 'The Assassin Baby'
Charles Johnson 'InnerG'
Flyweight
62% 38%
13/16 models
no line yet
62%
Maycee Barber 'The Future'
Carli Judice 'Crispy'
Women's Flyweight
40% 60%
16/16 models
no line yet
60%
Charles Oliveira 'Do Bronxs' -170
Diego Lopes +134
Lightweight-4 vs mkt
58% 42%
11/17 models
-4 vs mkt mkt 62% · model 58%
58%
Sergei Pavlovich -165
Alex Pereira 'Poatan' +136
Heavyweight+2 vs mkt
57% 43%
16/17 models
+2 vs mkt mkt 55% · model 57%
57%